The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Maldonado 40.2%
Draw 29.3%
Liverpool Montevideo 30.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.1%
28.7%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
30.8%
39.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Maldonado's performance.
Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Maldonado that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Deportivo Maldonado - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Liverpool will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Segovia D. (G) 4. Ginzo J. M. 2. Fuica N. 19. Tealde F. 22. Ramos J. 18. Mayada C. 8. Gonzalez M. 27. Sosa G. 17. Ramirez S. 9. Bolzan C. 16. Cesar R.
1. Bernatene M. (G) 3. Strasorier S. 23. Castillo E. 18. Cayetano A. 24. Haller R. 5. Garayalde N. 16. Acosta L. 34. Lewis K. 10. Degregorio R. M. 7. Martinez F. 31. Barcelo F.
Substitutes
42. Fernandez J. 1. Freitas A. (G) 30. Ibanez L. 31. Marino F. 3. Menosse H. 29. Mozzone E. 10. Noble Sequeira A. M. 5. Nunez L. 32. Petryk H. 23. Vila A.
25. Campana M. (G) 17. de Mello G. 15. Laquidain S. 6. Milano S. 8. Mir M. 29. Olivera E. 4. Perdomo F. 33. Pintos J. 27. Romero D. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Di Noia G.
Fossati J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Barcelo F. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
20', Fuica N. 🟨,
30', Ramirez S. 🟨,
43', Strasorier S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sosa G. ↓, Noble Sequeira A. M. ↑,
46', Bolzan C. ↓, Menosse H. ↑,
48', Menosse H. 🟨,
57', Segovia D. ↓, Freitas A. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Romero D. ⚽,
69', Mayada C. ↓, Mozzone E. ↑,
69', Degregorio R. M. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Ramos J. ⚽,
83', Martinez F. ↓, Milano S. ↑,
83', Haller R. ↓, Laquidain S. ↑,
83', Lewis K. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
89', Ramirez S. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
90+3', Laquidain S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 2.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Maldonado has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:25 (averaging 1.2:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Maldonado against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:11 goals (averaging 1:2.2 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Maldonado
12
6
3
3
18:10
8
21
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Maldonado - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.11%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Segovia D. (G) 
Ginzo J. M. 
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