Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 1

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Roberto (Montevideo)

Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Montevideo		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4.1	Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.33
	1.82	3.15	4.45
	1.9	3.25	5.05
	1.81	3.3	4.81	Watch
	1.85	3	4.33
	1.9	3.28	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.77)	3.23 ↓ (3.41)	4.47 ↓ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
50.4%

Draw
28.8%

Cerro Largo
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

26.9%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Varese F. (G) 4. Cotugno G. (C) 3. Brazionis 13. Alvarez F. 17. Ferreira M. 11. Suarez F. 8. Cairus F. 21. Alvarez Wallace A. 39. Vazquez A. 10. Da Silva E. 33. Da Silva S.	12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 14. Correa L. 16. Fracchia M. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 15. Assis S. (C) 5. Marcel S. 11. Anasco M. 19. Sellecchia F. 9. Correa T.
Substitutes
40. Atum A. 5. Bosca J. 14. De Los Santos E. 19. Dudok R. 27. Loprete L. 1. Machado F. (G) 37. Oyarzo Y. 23. Sosa N. 77. Tomatis B. 7. Varela J.	13. Barone B. 22. Bertocchi N. 2. Chocobar G. F. 18. Daguerre D. 25. Jourdan E. 1. Moreno J. (G) 3. Piegas A. 28. Ramos N. 4. Souza F. 7. Viera G.
Coaches
Chambian C.	Nunez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Da Silva S. (Penalty Awarded),
17', Brazionis ↓, Oyarzo Y. ↑,
17', Correa L. ↓, Piegas A. ↑,
27', Alvarez Wallace A. 🟨,
37', Assis S. 🟨,
45', Correa T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Hernandez A. 🟨,
64', Da Silva S. 🟨,
65', Da Silva S. 🟨,
68', Chambian C. 🟨,
68', Hernandez A. ↓, Daguerre D. ↑,
68', Da Silva E. ↓, De Los Santos E. ↑,
68', Suarez F. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
69', Alvarez Wallace A. ↓, Bosca J. ↑,
74', Bosca J. 🟨,
83', Sellecchia F. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
88', Vazquez A. ↓, Loprete L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.

Racing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerro Largo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Racing is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 0.9:0.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12
14	Cerro Largo	9	0	5	4	6:12	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.05.26	Central Español - Racing Montevideo	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWTW
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.05.26	Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Progreso - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
20.04.26	Boston River - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Cerro Largo - Cerro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.04.26	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	0:1
25.10.25	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	2:2
28.04.25	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:1
05.10.24	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:0
29.03.24	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	0:2
Copa Sudamericana
07.03.24	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.11.23	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:0

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