Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 3d 2h 📅 Remind Me


	Racing Montevideo		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.40	4.50
	1.70	3.40	4.60
	1.73	3.45	4.90
	1.72	3.58	5.02
	1.71	3.54	4.92	Watch
	1.67	3.50	4.90
	1.69	3.32	4.72	Watch
	1.69	3.40	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.73)	3.45 (3.45)	4.77 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
54.1%

Draw
26.7%

Cerro Largo
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

26.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Cerro Largo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Racing is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Racing has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:18 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Racing against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:2 goals (averaging 0.9:0.3 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Racing Montevideo	12	4	4	4	15:13	2	16
14	Cerro Largo	12	1	6	5	9:14	-5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.10.26	Defensor Sporting - Racing Montevideo	3:3 ✺
17.10.26	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0 ✺
11.10.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Racing Montevideo	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Progreso - Racing Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLL
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.10.26	Cerro Largo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
21.10.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.10.26	Cerro - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Cerro Largo - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Danubio - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
17.05.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:0
26.04.26	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	0:1
25.10.25	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	2:2
28.04.25	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:1
05.10.24	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:0
29.03.24	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	0:2
Copa Sudamericana
07.03.24	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:0

Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo