Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla (Melo)

Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerro Largo		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.05	Watch
	3.40	3.20	2.00
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.66	3.18	2.21
	3.56	3.15	2.15	Watch
	3.55	3.1	2.14
	3.45	3	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.62)	3.09 ↓ (3.17)	2.11 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
26.5%

Draw
29.8%

Liverpool Montevideo
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

29.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

29.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 14. Correa L. 3. Piegas A. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 15. Assis S. 5. Marcel S. 10. Pandiani A. 18. Daguerre D. 7. Viera G.	1. Bernatene M. (G) 3. Strasorier S. 23. Castillo E. 18. Cayetano A. 4. Perdomo F. 5. Garayalde N. 24. Haller R. 34. Lewis K. 7. Martinez F. 9. Machado R. 19. Bentancourt R.
Substitutes
27. Alvez F. 22. Bertocchi N. 21. Brun S. 11. de Luca A. 24. Gonzalez L. (G) 29. Lozano B. 9. Piriz L. 19. Prado A. 28. Ramos N. 37. Segovia A.	25. Campana M. (G) 10. Degregorio R. M. 17. de Mello G. 20. Dominguez E. 15. Laquidain S. 6. Milano S. 8. Mir M. 29. Olivera E. 27. Romero D. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Nunez D.	Fossati J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', Hernandez A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Bentancourt R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Pandiani A. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Pandiani A. ⚽,
60', Viera G. ↓, de Luca A. ↑,
64', Machado R. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
64', Haller R. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
70', Marcel S. 🟨,
75', Piegas A. 🟨,
78', Pandiani A. ↓, Prado A. ↑,
78', Daguerre D. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
84', Lewis K. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
86', Assis S. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
86', Garcia M. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
88', Garayalde N. ↓, Milano S. ↑,
88', Martinez F. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.

Cerro Largo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Liverpool is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Liverpool might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Cerro Largo	9	0	5	4	6:12	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool Montevideo - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.71%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Cerro Largo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTTL
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguay Copa
27.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.08.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Central Español - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
08.06.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:0
01.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:0
07.11.25	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0
07.06.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1
18.05.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:0
13.11.24	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0
06.07.24	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0

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