Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 31 January 2023, Tuesday


	Liversedge		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.47
	4.9	3.7	1.5
	5.4	4.1	1.47
	5.8	4.45	1.47
	5	4	1.5
	5.8	4.2	1.48
	5.5	4.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↑ (3.88)	4.09 ↑ (3.74)	1.48 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liversedge
16.7%

Draw
22.1%

Gainsborough Trinity
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.2%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

23.6%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liversedge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liversedge's form might have worsened.

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gainsborough Trinity's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liversedge than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liversedge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gainsborough Trinity, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Liversedge - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Liversedge will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gainsborough will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Liversedge is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gainsborough is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Liversedge have a series of home games.

In this match Gainsborough is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liversedge FC
English NPL Premier Division
28.01.23	Warrington Rylands - Liversedge	1:0 ✺
02.01.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Liversedge	4:2 ✺
03.12.22	Liversedge - Whitby Town	0:3 ✺
26.11.22	Liversedge - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Marine - Liversedge	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
28.01.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Morpeth Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
07.01.23	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	3:4 ✺
02.01.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Matlock Town	3:0 ✺
03.12.22	Hyde United - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWL

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