Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Matlock Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	1.98	3.4	3.3
	1.98	3.52	3.54
	2.04	3.45	3.52	Watch
	2	3.6	3.1
	1.97	3.28	3.49
	1.98	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.01)	3.42 ↓ (3.59)	3.35 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
46%

Draw
26.7%

Matlock Town
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Matlock Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Gainsborough Trinity aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Gainsborough Trinity - Matlock Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gainsborough will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Matlock will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Lancaster W. (Own goal),
29', 1 - 1, Butroid L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
80', Lancaster W. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 4.

Recent matches Gainsborough is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matlock is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Matlock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gainsborough will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26:15 (average 2.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Gainsborough won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
18.01.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Macclesfield Town	0:4 ✺
14.01.25	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Basford United - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Gainsborough Trinity - York City	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.25	Worksop Town - Gainsborough Trinity	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTTWL
- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
18.01.25	Workington - Matlock Town	4:2 ✺
14.01.25	Matlock Town - Prescot Cables	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Leek Town - Matlock Town	3:3 ✺
26.12.24	Matlock Town - Ilkeston	4:0 ✺
14.12.24	Matlock Town - Mickleover Sports	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Matlock Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2
16.04.24	Matlock Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:4
03.10.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Matlock Town	5:3
English FA Cup
02.09.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Matlock Town	1:1
English NPL Premier Division
02.01.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Matlock Town	3:0
29.08.22	Matlock Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
05.03.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Matlock Town	1:2

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