Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday


	Stafford Rangers		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.25
	2.65	3.5	2.3
	2.73	3.63	2.33
	2.73	3.63	2.33
	2.68	3.42	2.29
	2.65	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.74)	3.51 ↓ (3.61)	2.3 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stafford Rangers
34.2%

Draw
26%

Gainsborough Trinity
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.3%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

25%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stafford won 0.

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

Gainsborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stafford have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Stafford won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Stafford won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
23.12.23	United of Manchester - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
19.12.23	Whitby Town - Stafford Rangers	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Stafford Rangers - Lancaster City	2:4 ✺
12.12.23	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Warrington Rylands - Stafford Rangers	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
23.12.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Marine - Gainsborough Trinity	3:1 ✺
09.12.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Ilkeston	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	1:3 ✺
28.11.23	Hyde United - Gainsborough Trinity	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
07.01.23	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	3:4
20.08.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Stafford Rangers	0:0
29.01.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Stafford Rangers	1:1
16.10.21	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	0:0
10.03.20	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	2:2
26.01.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Stafford Rangers	1:1
03.11.18	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1

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