Match Info

Premiership - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Home of the Set Fare Arena (Livingston)

Referee: Scott C. (Sco)


	Livingston		Hibernian

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.86	Watch
	3.55	3.35	2.02	Watch
	3.48	3.68	2.00	Watch
	3.89	3.69	1.95	Watch
	3.9	3.55	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.48)	3.57 ↓ (3.68)	1.94 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
25.2%

Draw
26.3%

Hibernian
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

25.7%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

25.9%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Livingston - Hibernian Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Hibernian will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hibernian: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 30. Brenet J. 19. Finlayson D. 27. Wilson D. (C) 26. Montano C. 8. Pittman S. 7. Susoho M. 24. Sylla M. 15. Smith L. 18. Bokila J. 17. May S.	1. Sallinger R. (G) 33. Bushiri R. 4. Hanley G. 15. Iredale J. 22. Barlaser D. 20. Mulligan J. 21. Obita J. 17. McGrath J. 14. Chaiwa M. 10. Boyle M. (C) 18. Klidje T.
Substitutes
10. Carey G. 36. Culbert S. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 40. Lawal S. 9. Muirhead R. 20. Robinson J. 22. Shinnie A. 25. Tait M. 39. Yengi T.	9. Bowie K. 12. Cadden Ch. 19. Cadden N. 32. Campbell J. 23. Hoilett J. 27. Megwa K. 24. Mitchell Z. 13. Smith J. (G) 7. Youan T.
Coaches
Martindale D.	Gray D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, McGrath J. ⚽, Klidje T. (A),
24', Bushiri R. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Bokila J. ⚽, Pittman S. (A),
39', Pittman S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pittman S. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Boyle M. ⚽, Mulligan J. (A),
57', Iredale J. ↓, Cadden N. ↑,
57', Klidje T. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
57', McGrath J. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
65', Smith L. ↓, Carey G. ↑,
73', Boyle M. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
74', May S. ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
80', Bokila J. ↓, Shinnie A. ↑,
81', Montano C. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Carey G. (Pen),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 0.

Livingston has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hibernian's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hibernian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hibernian could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Livingston: Denholm A. (Hamstring Injury) Kerr C. (Muscle Injury) McGowan R. (Inactive) Montgomery A. (Injury)

There will not play in Hibernian: Levitt D. (Surgery) Manneh A. (Hamstring Injury) Molotnikov R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Livingston: McLennan C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Hibernian: Newell J. (Groin Injury) O'Hora W. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Livingston - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 27.13%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Hibernian - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.21%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Premier League
25.10.25	Livingston - Motherwell	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Hibernian - Livingston	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Dundee United - Livingston	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Livingston - Glasgow Rangers	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Dundee - Livingston	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL
- Hibernian FC
Scottish Premier League
29.10.25	Hibernian - Glasgow Rangers	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Aberdeen - Hibernian	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Hibernian - Livingston	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Hearts - Hibernian	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Celtic - Hibernian	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
18.10.25	Hibernian - Livingston	4:0
Scottish League Cup
17.08.25	Livingston - Hibernian	0:2
Scottish Premier League
19.05.24	Livingston - Hibernian	1:1
16.03.24	Hibernian - Livingston	3:0
09.12.23	Livingston - Hibernian	0:1
26.08.23	Hibernian - Livingston	2:3
04.03.23	Livingston - Hibernian	1:4

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