Match Info

Championship - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: The Home of the Set Fare Arena (Livingston)

Referee: Scott C. (Sco)


	Livingston		Partick Thistle

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.20	3.00
	2.20	3.30	2.75
	2.28	3.35	2.80	Watch
	2.19	3.42	3.22
	2.41	3.37	2.85	Watch
	2.19	3.35	3.20
	2.15	3.30	2.96	Watch
	2.22	3.35	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.34)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	2.97 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
41.4%

Draw
27.6%

Partick Thistle
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Livingston - Partick Thistle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 23. Kabongolo B. 5. McGowan R. (C) 26. Montano C. 20. Danso E. 8. Pittman S. 7. Sinclair T. 9. Muirhead R. 19. van Hoeven B. 25. Anderson B.	1. Budinauckas L. (G) 24. McPherson B. 5. Ashcroft L. (C) 22. Loughrey C. 3. Reading P. 6. Dempsey B. 14. Crawford R. 7. Drozd S. 26. Stanway B. 10. Henderson E. 9. Samuel A.
Substitutes
30. Blaney S. 27. Carey G. 6. Denholm A. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 21. Iseni B. 17. May S. 16. Palmer C. 39. Polworth L. 4. Wilkie J.	34. Docherty S. 21. Fitzpatrick A. 17. Ingram E. 64. Letsosa T. 2. Logan C. 11. Mackay-Steven G. 20. O'Reilly D. 27. Storey C. (G) 32. Watt T.
Coaches
Martindale D.	Wilson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Montano C. ↓, Wilkie J. ↑,
17', 0 - 1, Reading P. ⚽, Drozd S. (A),
44', 1 - 1, van Hoeven B. ⚽, Wilkie J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Anderson B. 🟨,
55', Drozd S. 🟨,
60', Samuel A. ↓, Watt T. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Reading P. ⚽,
66', Henderson E. ↓, Fitzpatrick A. ↑,
67', Fitzpatrick A. 🟨,
68', Watt T. 🟨,
70', van Hoeven B. ↓, Carey G. ↑,
83', Crawford R. ↓, Letsosa T. ↑,
83', Drozd S. ↓, Ingram E. ↑,
84', Sinclair T. ↓, May S. ↑,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter - finals) and 3rd in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Partick has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Livingston has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:22 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Livingston against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Livingston: 22.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Partick Thistle	9	5	3	1	10:3	7	18
4	Livingston	10	4	1	5	14:11	3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
03.10.26	Livingston - Ayr United	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Raith Rovers - Livingston	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Livingston - Inverness	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Greenock Morton - Livingston	1:4 ✺
04.09.26	Livingston - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTWL
- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
03.10.26	Partick Thistle - Arbroath	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Partick Thistle	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Partick Thistle - Queens Park	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
07.08.26	Partick Thistle - Livingston	2:0
Scottish League Cup
18.07.26	Livingston - Partick Thistle	1:2 penalties
Scottish Premier League
16.05.25	Livingston - Partick Thistle	2:0
13.05.25	Partick Thistle - Livingston	0:2
Scottish Football Championship
02.05.25	Livingston - Partick Thistle	0:1
28.02.25	Partick Thistle - Livingston	1:1
13.12.24	Livingston - Partick Thistle	2:0

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