Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 24

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)


	Livorno		Città di Castello

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	2	3.05	3.55
	1.83	3.19	4.09
	2.45	2.8	2.75
	2.02	3.15	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.03)	3.04 ↓ (3.07)	3.53 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
44.3%

Draw
30%

Città di Castello
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.3%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

28.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Città di Castello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Castello than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Livorno - Città di Castello Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs) and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Livorno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Livorno won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.02.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Livorno	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Livorno - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Seravezza Pozzi - Livorno	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Livorno - Terranuova Traiana	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Livorno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTWL
- SSD Group Città di Castello
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.02.23	Città di Castello - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Città di Castello	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Città di Castello - Montespaccato	4:1 ✺
22.01.23	Città di Castello - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Città di Castello	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
16.10.22	Città di Castello - Livorno	2:1

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