Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Livorno		Renate

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	2.85	3.1	2.3
	3.2	2.8	2.23
	3.4	3.09	2.31
	3.3	3	2.25
	3.15	3.13	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.84)	3.07 ↓ (3.16)	2.25 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
29.3%

Draw
29.9%

Renate
40.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.6%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

20.7%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Livorno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Livorno - Renate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Livorno is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Renate is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Livorno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Renate will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Livorno won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Livorno won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
17.02.21	Novara - Livorno	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Livorno - Olbia	3:3 ✺
07.02.21	Juventus U23 - Livorno	6:0 ✺
03.02.21	Livorno - Piacenza	0:1 ✺
30.01.21	Lecco - Livorno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLLL
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
17.02.21	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	0:2 ✺
14.02.21	Pro Patria - Renate	0:0 ✺
07.02.21	Renate - Pontedera	0:0 ✺
03.02.21	Pro Vercelli - Renate	3:0 ✺
31.01.21	Renate - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.20	Renate - Livorno	0:2
Italian Lega Pro - Promotion
14.05.17	Livorno - Renate	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
26.02.17	Renate - Livorno	0:0
09.10.16	Livorno - Renate	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Livorno - Ostia Mare	✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.26	Spezia - Livorno	✺
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
01.11.26	Carpi - Renate	✺

Livorno - Renate