Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Renate		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3	3.6
	2.09	3.05	3.57	Watch
	2	2.75	3.7
	2.05	2.83	3.84	Watch
	2.08	2.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)	2.9 ↓ (3.4)	3.74 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
44.2%

Draw
31.4%

AlbinoLeffe
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

25.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AlbinoLeffe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Renate - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 72. Mastromonaco G. 11. Delcarro A. 25. Vassallo F. 14. Cali M. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 92. Anelli N. 9. Karlsson O.	1. Di Chiara S. (G) 2. Barba B. 4. Potop S. (C) 23. Sottini E. 7. Garattoni A. 6. Astrologo A. 5. Mandelli A. 18. Parlati S. 20. Ambrosini M. 10. De Paoli A. 11. Sali G.
Substitutes
12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 77. De Leo L. 3. Gardoni P. 32. Ghezzi A. 7. Muhameti E. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 6. Rossi G. 13. Spalluto S.	19. Agostinelli M. 21. Angeloni M. 12. Baldi G. (G) 45. Borghi E. 17. Ciko S. 22. Facchetti L. (G) 3. Giannini E. 8. Lombardi A. 33. Sciacca G. 9. Sorrentino L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Mastromonaco G. 🟨,
34', Mandelli A. 🟨,
37', Delcarro A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Karlsson O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Sali G. ⚽,
66', Delcarro A. ↓, Ori R. ↑,
66', Mastromonaco G. ↓, Ghezzi A. ↑,
71', Auriletto S. 🟥,
78', Mandelli A. ↓, Sorrentino L. ↑,
85', Potop S. 🟨,
88', Karlsson O. ↓, De Leo L. ↑,
90', Potop S. ↓, Sciacca G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 1.

Renate is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, AlbinoLeffe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Renate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Renate will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Renate won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Renate	9	0	4	5	8:14	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Renate - Latina	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.26	Giana Erminio - Renate	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Renate - Pergolettese	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Pro Patria - Renate	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	Renate - Trento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWT
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - AlbinoLeffe	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	AlbinoLeffe - Alcione	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Triestina - AlbinoLeffe	5:2 ✺
08.12.25	AlbinoLeffe - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.25	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	2:3
09.02.25	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	1:0
28.09.24	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	0:2
13.04.24	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	0:0
08.12.23	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	0:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
26.02.23	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	2:3

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