Match Info

Date: 30 January 2021, Saturday


	Lecco		Livorno

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.6
	2	3	3.6
	1.95	3	3.8
	2.06	2.9	3.5
	2.14	3.09	3.85
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	1.98	3.3	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.72)	3.1 ↓ (3.26)	3.66 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
45.3%

Draw
29.6%

Livorno
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22.4%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lecco's form might have worsened.

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Livorno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lecco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Livorno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lecco - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Lecco is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lecco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
24.01.21	Giana Erminio - Lecco	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	AlbinoLeffe - Lecco	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Lecco - Lucchese	2:2 ✺
23.12.20	Olbia - Lecco	1:0 ✺
19.12.20	Lecco - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTLW
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
23.01.21	Livorno - AlbinoLeffe	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Pro Sesto - Livorno	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	Livorno - Pro Patria	0:2 ✺
23.12.20	Como - Livorno	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Livorno - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.10.20	Livorno - Lecco	2:2

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