Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Llanera		Escobedo

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.4
	1.71	3.45	4.4
	1.73	3.54	4.87
	1.68	3.54	4.78	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.69	3.56	4.76
	1.71	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.13)	3.49 ↑ (3.2)	4.54 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanera
53.7%

Draw
26.2%

Escobedo
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llanera's performance.

Escobedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escobedo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llanera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escobedo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Llanera - Escobedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Cagigal A. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Llanera has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Escobedo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Llanera is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Llanera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.12.24	Marino de Luanco - Llanera	3:1 ✺
07.12.24	Llanera - Langreo	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Llanera	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Llanera - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Compostela - Llanera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTL
- UM Escobedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.12.24	Escobedo - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Coruxo - Escobedo	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Escobedo - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Guijuelo - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Escobedo - Rayo Cantabria	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLTTL

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