Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Llanera		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.65
	2.5	2.95	2.75
	2.62	3.05	2.79
	2.5	3.09	2.75	Watch
	2.51	3.14	2.68
	2.5	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.49)	3.01 ↓ (3.33)	2.73 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanera
36.3%

Draw
30.3%

Real Avilés
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Llanera - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Poquet N. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Llanera won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Llanera won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.5:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Llanera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Llanera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.01.25	Guijuelo - Llanera	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Llanera - Rayo Cantabria	4:3 ✺
21.12.24	Llanera - Escobedo	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Marino de Luanco - Llanera	3:1 ✺
07.12.24	Llanera - Langreo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLLL
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.01.25	Real Avilés - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Coruxo - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
22.12.24	Real Avilés - Numancia	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Real Avilés - Rayo Cantabria	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.09.24	Real Avilés - Llanera	1:0
30.01.22	Real Avilés - Llanera	0:0
12.09.21	Llanera - Real Avilés	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
14.02.21	Llanera - Real Avilés	1:5
22.11.20	Real Avilés - Llanera	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
06.12.17	Real Avilés - Llanera	1:0

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