Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 10

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Llantwit Major		Goytre United

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.1	3.75
	1.7	4.08	3.63
	1.73	4.36	3.85	Watch
	1.72	4	3.74
	1.69	4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.14)	4.11 ↑ (3.88)	3.73 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llantwit Major
53.4%

Draw
22.2%

Goytre United
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

23.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

22.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llantwit Major has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llantwit Major's performance.

Goytre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goytre United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llantwit Major that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goytre United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Llantwit Major - Goytre United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Gardner J. R. K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, Williams S. ⚽,
73', Woodington J. 🟥,
81', Morgan J. 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
27.09.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Llantwit Major - Ammanford	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Pontypridd United - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Llantwit Major - Taffs Well AFC	4:1 ✺
23.08.24	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWTWW
- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
27.09.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	0:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
17.09.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Goytre United	9:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
14.09.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Goytre United	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Goytre United - Carmarthen Town	3:1 ✺
26.08.24	Afan Lido - Goytre United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
13.04.24	Goytre United - Llantwit Major	2:2
06.04.24	Llantwit Major - Goytre United	0:1
Welsh League Cup
22.07.23	Goytre United - Llantwit Major	1:2
Welsh Cymru South
29.04.23	Llantwit Major - Goytre United	1:1
06.12.22	Goytre United - Llantwit Major	4:3
06.04.22	Goytre United - Llantwit Major	2:4
21.08.21	Llantwit Major - Goytre United	2:1

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