Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 9

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Goytre United		Caerau Ely

	1	X	2
	2.21	3.95	2.55
	2.46	4.01	2.1
	2.47	4.29	2.34	Watch
	2.19	3.9	2.52
	2.21	3.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.02)	4.02 ↑ (3.75)	2.41 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Goytre United
39.5%

Draw
22.7%

Caerau Ely
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

24.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

24.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goytre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goytre United's form might have worsened.

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caerau Ely's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goytre United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caerau Ely, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Goytre United - Caerau Ely Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Griffiths B. L. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 2, Samson H. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goytre United
Welsh League Cup
17.09.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Goytre United	9:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
14.09.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Goytre United	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Goytre United - Carmarthen Town	3:1 ✺
26.08.24	Afan Lido - Goytre United	4:1 ✺
23.08.24	Newport City - Goytre United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLW
- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
07.09.24	Afan Lido - Caerau Ely	2:2 ✺
26.08.24	Caerau Ely - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
23.08.24	Pontypridd United - Caerau Ely	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	Caerau Ely - Newport City	1:2 ✺
09.08.24	Taffs Well AFC - Caerau Ely	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
02.08.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	3:2
Welsh Cymru South
09.04.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	6:2
08.09.23	Caerau Ely - Goytre United	3:0
15.11.19	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	4:0

Upcoming Matches