Match Info

Cymru South - Round 16

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Trethomas Bluebirds		Llantwit Major

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.48
	2.54	3.27	2.6
	2.52	3.54	2.57	Watch
	2.45	3.26	2.51
	2.5	3.14	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.67)	3.3 ↓ (3.56)	2.54 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trethomas Bluebirds
36.6%

Draw
27.6%

Llantwit Major
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.2%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Trethomas Bluebirds - Llantwit Major Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Rowe K. ⚽,
52', 1 - 1, Hood J. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Hood J. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Bevan L. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Trethomas Bluebirds is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Llantwit Major is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Trethomas Bluebirds has had a series of away games.

Recently, Llantwit Major has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Trethomas Bluebirds won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
28.11.25	Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLLL
- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
29.11.25	Llantwit Major - Afan Lido	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Llantwit Major - Newport City	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Treowen Stars - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Llantwit Major - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Llantwit Major - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
06.09.25	Llantwit Major - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1
27.09.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Llantwit Major	1:1
27.07.24	Llantwit Major - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:1

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