Match Info

Cymru South - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Llantwit Major		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.15	2.58
	2.5	3.27	2.64
	2.49	3.38	2.69	Watch
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.42	3.24	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.58)	3.21 ↓ (3.36)	2.61 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llantwit Major
36.9%

Draw
28.3%

Ammanford
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

27.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llantwit Major has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Llantwit Major - Ammanford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, John R. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, John R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Goldsworthy C. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Bevan J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', 2 - 3, John D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 3.

Llantwit Major is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ammanford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Llantwit Major may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Llantwit Major won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Llantwit Major	8	2	1	5	7:20	-13	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ammanford - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.13%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
10.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Pontypridd United - Llantwit Major	0:4 ✺
03.03.26	Llantwit Major - Treowen Stars	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Llantwit Major - Trefelin	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Ynyshir Albions - Llantwit Major	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLW
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
06.03.26	Ammanford - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Afan Lido - Ammanford	3:1 ✺
24.02.26	Ammanford - Aberystwyth Town	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Ammanford - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Caerau Ely - Ammanford	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
08.08.25	Ammanford - Llantwit Major	2:1
14.09.24	Llantwit Major - Ammanford	1:0
06.08.24	Ammanford - Llantwit Major	1:2
13.01.24	Ammanford - Llantwit Major	0:1
21.10.23	Llantwit Major - Ammanford	0:0
07.04.23	Ammanford - Llantwit Major	3:2
18.03.23	Llantwit Major - Ammanford	1:1

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