Match Info

Superliga - Round 25

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Llapi		Gjilani

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.92	2.68
	2.44	2.98	2.78
	2.48	3.09	2.77	Watch
	2.45	2.75	2.8
	2.44	2.92	2.77
	2.4	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.4)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	2.75 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llapi
36.8%

Draw
30.3%

Gjilani
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

28.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llapi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Gjilani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llapi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gjilani than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Llapi - Gjilani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Bilalli O. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Sadriu E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, Jarovic S. ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Morina B. ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, Hyseni M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llapi won 1.

Llapi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gjilani has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gjilani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Llapi won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Llapi won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gjilani	11	5	3	3	15:10	5	18
9	KF Llapi	11	1	2	8	10:25	-15	5

Last Results with these Odds

Llapi - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.89%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Llapi
Kosovo Superliga
15.03.26	Dukagjini - Llapi	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Llapi - Ballkani	2:0 ✺
Kosovo Cup
05.03.26	Llapi - Malisheva	3:2 penalties ✺
Kosovo Superliga
28.02.26	Prishtina e Re - Llapi	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Llapi - Drita Gjilan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWTL
- KF Gjilani
Kosovo Superliga
14.03.26	Gjilani - Drenica	0:1 ✺
09.03.26	Ferizaj - Gjilani	1:2 ✺
Kosovo Cup
04.03.26	Ballkani - Gjilani	2:1 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
28.02.26	Gjilani - Malisheva	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gjilani - Prishtina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kosovo Superliga
07.12.25	Gjilani - Llapi	3:0
13.04.25	Gjilani - Llapi	2:3
08.02.25	Llapi - Gjilani	0:1
26.10.24	Gjilani - Llapi	2:1
10.08.24	Llapi - Gjilani	1:1
09.05.24	Gjilani - Llapi	1:1
09.03.24	Llapi - Gjilani	2:1

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