Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 17

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)


	Lleida		Hércules

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.85
	2.35	3.1	3	Watch
	2.35	2.92	3.31
	2.35	2.91	3.31
	2.38	2.9	2.8
	2.32	2.99	3.07
	2.37	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.39)	2.95 ↑ (2.88)	3.04 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
39%

Draw
31%

Hércules
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

31.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

31.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Lleida - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lleida won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Hércules could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Lleida won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Lleida won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.12.23	CE Europa - Lleida	3:0 ✺
10.12.23	Lleida - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Penya Independent - Lleida	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Lleida - Andratx	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Sant Andreu - Lleida	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWT
- Hércules CF
Club Friendly
29.12.23	Hércules - Torrellano	7:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.12.23	Hércules - Badalona Futur	2:2 ✺
10.12.23	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	1:5 ✺
03.12.23	Hércules - Manresa	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Atlético Saguntino - Hércules	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.04.23	Lleida - Hércules	0:1
27.11.22	Hércules - Lleida	0:4
19.05.21	Hércules - Lleida	3:1
04.04.21	Lleida - Hércules	1:0
03.11.19	Hércules - Lleida	1:1
16.03.19	Hércules - Lleida	0:0
27.10.18	Lleida - Hércules	0:1

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