Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Manresa		Vilassar de Mar

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.45	6.7
	1.42	4.4	6.49
	1.36	4.65	7.44
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.43	4.2	6.08
	1.4	4.33	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.68)	4.34 ↑ (3.31)	6.62 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manresa
65.3%

Draw
21%

Vilassar de Mar
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

27.5%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

27%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manresa's performance.

Vilassar de Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manresa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Manresa - Vilassar de Mar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 0, Bande B. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manresa won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Manresa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Manresa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Manresa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Vilassar de Mar	5	1	0	4	3:13	-10	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Manresa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.01.26	Mollerussa - Manresa	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	San Cristóbal - Manresa	3:3 ✺
04.01.26	Manresa - Cornellà	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Badalona - Manresa	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Manresa - Montañesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTTTW
- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.01.26	Vilassar de Mar - CE Europa B	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Vilassar de Mar - Lleida	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Vilassar de Mar - Grama	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Tona - Vilassar de Mar	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Vilanova - Vilassar de Mar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
13.09.25	Vilassar de Mar - Manresa	2:3
19.01.25	Manresa - Vilassar de Mar	0:0
08.09.24	Vilassar de Mar - Manresa	0:1
23.01.22	Manresa - Vilassar de Mar	2:1
19.09.21	Vilassar de Mar - Manresa	0:0
02.05.21	Vilassar de Mar - Manresa	0:0
11.04.21	Manresa - Vilassar de Mar	0:0

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