Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Llosetense		Penya Independent

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.9
	3.8	3.2	1.91
	3.62	3.36	1.94	Watch
	3.87	3.4	1.94
	3.75	3.3	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.58)	3.3 (3.3)	1.92 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llosetense
24.7%

Draw
27.6%

Penya Independent
47.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.5%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.8%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llosetense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Llosetense - Penya Independent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 0)

Preview

Llosetense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Penya Independent is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llosetense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Penya Independent will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Llosetense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Llosetense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Llosetense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
08.03.25	Llosetense - Platges de Calvià	3:4 ✺
01.03.25	Santanyí - Llosetense	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Llosetense - Constancia	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Campos - Llosetense	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Llosetense - Porreres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLTW
- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.03.25	Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Constancia - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Binissalem - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Penya Independent - Portmany	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Penya Independent - Migjorn	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
09.11.24	Penya Independent - Llosetense	1:0
29.01.23	Penya Independent - Llosetense	2:2
24.09.22	Llosetense - Penya Independent	0:0

Llosetense - Penya Independent