Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Penya Independent		Platges de Calvià

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.15	3.8
	1.88	3.24	3.88
	1.93	3.15	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.72)	3.18 ↓ (3.38)	3.83 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penya Independent
47.6%

Draw
28.6%

Platges de Calvià
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.9%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

27.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penya Independent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penya Independent's form might have worsened.

Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penya Independent, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Penya Independent is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Penya Independent won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Penya Independent won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
08.03.25	Constancia - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Binissalem - Penya Independent	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Penya Independent - Portmany	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Penya Independent - Migjorn	5:0 ✺
25.01.25	PE Sant Jordi - Penya Independent	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTWT
- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
08.03.25	Llosetense - Platges de Calvià	3:4 ✺
28.02.25	Platges de Calvià - Constancia	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Porreres - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Platges de Calvià - Binissalem	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Platges de Calvià - Manacor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
11.12.24	Platges de Calvià - Penya Independent	1:0
12.02.23	Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià	1:1
09.10.22	Platges de Calvià - Penya Independent	0:0

Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide