Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 18

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Locri		Santa Maria Cilento

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.75	3.37	4.21
	2	3	3.4
	1.79	3.4	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.95)	3.21 ↑ (3.11)	3.73 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Locri
47.8%

Draw
28.1%

Santa Maria Cilento
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.6%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

25.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Locri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Santa Maria Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Locri than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Locri - Santa Maria Cilento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out)).

Locri in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Santa Maria Cilento is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Locri will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Locri 1909
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.22	Locri - Real Agro Aversa	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	Sancataldese - Locri	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Locri - Acireale	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Lamezia Terme - Locri	1:3 ✺
27.11.22	Locri - Canicattì	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WTWWW
- Santa Maria Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.22	Mariglianese - Santa Maria Cilento	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Catania	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Vibonese - Santa Maria Cilento	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	San Luca - Santa Maria Cilento	2:2 ✺
23.11.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLTT

Locri - Santa Maria Cilento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide