Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday


	Logan Lightning		Brisbane City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	4	2.15
	2.4	4.4	2.07
	2.37	4.1	2.26
	2.46	4.67	2.26
	2.8	3.6	2.1
	2.52	4.15	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.94)	4.15 ↑ (3.93)	2.19 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Logan Lightning
36.2%

Draw
22%

Brisbane City
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

23.3%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

23.7%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Logan Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Brisbane City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Logan Lightning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Logan Lightning - Brisbane City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Logan Lightning will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Brisbane City will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane City: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Logan Lightning could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Logan Lightning have a series of guest games.

Brisbane City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Logan Lightning won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Logan Lightning won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Logan Lightning
Australian NPL Queensland
20.08.22	Queensland Lions - Logan Lightning	1:3 ✺
17.08.22	Peninsula Power - Logan Lightning	1:2 ✺
06.08.22	Logan Lightning - Capalaba	3:2 ✺
31.07.22	Brisbane City - Logan Lightning	4:1 ✺
Australian Cup
27.07.22	Adelaide City - Logan Lightning	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37 WWWLL
- Brisbane City
Australian NPL Queensland
21.08.22	Brisbane City - Brisbane Roar Youth	4:0 ✺
Australian Cup
17.08.22	Oakleigh Cannons - Brisbane City	5:3 ET ✺
Australian NPL Queensland
14.08.22	Brisbane City - Capalaba	4:0 ✺
10.08.22	Brisbane City - Gold Coast Knights	1:2 ✺
06.08.22	Eastern Suburbs - Brisbane City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
31.07.22	Brisbane City - Logan Lightning	4:1
Club Friendly
27.02.21	Logan Lightning - Brisbane City	1:1

Logan Lightning - Brisbane City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide