Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Daknamstadion (Lokeren)

Referee: Boel N. (Ned)


	Lokeren		Lommel

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.35	Watch
	2.58	3.4	2.48	Watch
	2.6	3.52	2.56
	2.65	3.62	2.44	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.55	3.3	2.41
	2.54	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.47)	3.4 ↑ (3.32)	2.45 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokeren
35.7%

Draw
26.9%

Lommel
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

27.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokeren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Lokeren - Lommel Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lokeren will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lommel will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lommel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Baert Y. (G) 19. Lloci M. 33. Camara D. 3. Dianganga J. 16. Palacios J. 14. Janssen T. (C) 28. Pau M. 7. Brrou A. 10. Soumare M. 55. Van Aerschot S. 11. Mabanza V. R.	1. Ivezic N. (G) 9. van Duiven J. 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 6. Pelupessy J. 8. Rommens N. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 30. Seuntjens R. 10. Reyners T. 11. van Duiven R.
Substitutes
9. Boere T. 25. Boonen I. 5. Boujouh N. 6. Brebels S. 8. Elejalde I. 1. Troost T. (G) 27. Van den Bergh R. 26. Vervaque J. 2. Vinck J.	3. Eyoma T. 25. Lama J. 18. Lopez L. 34. Oware H. 23. Pieklak M. (G) 98. Salah M. 77. Tewelde F. 14. Tolinsson J. 93. Vancsa Z.
Coaches
Vreven S.	Johnson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Seuntjens R. ⚽, Reyners T. (A),
32', Van Aerschot S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, van Duiven R. ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, Mabanza V. R. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
59', van Duiven R. ↓, Tolinsson J. ↑,
59', van Duiven R. 🟨,
63', Pau M. 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Tolinsson J. (Own goal),
72', Reyners T. ↓, Vancsa Z. ↑,
72', Pelupessy J. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
73', van Duiven J. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
77', Pau M. ↓, Van den Bergh R. ↑,
81', Mabanza V. R. ↓, Boere T. ↑,
86', Lopez L. 🟨,
87', Van Aerschot S. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Wouters D. ⚽, Tolinsson J. (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ))

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lokeren won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Lokeren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sporting Lokeren	6	3	1	2	13:11	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Lokeren - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSC Lokeren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.02.26	RWDM Brussels - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Lokeren - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Kortrijk - Lokeren	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Eupen - Lokeren	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lokeren - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLTT
- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.02.26	Lommel - Anderlecht U23	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Beveren - Lommel	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Lommel - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	RFC Liège - Lommel	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Lommel - Eupen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.08.25	Lommel - Lokeren	3:1
30.03.25	Lokeren - Lommel	1:0
29.11.24	Lommel - Lokeren	1:1
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Lommel - Lokeren	1:1

Lokeren - Lommel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide