Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 23

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Soevereinstadion (Lommel)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)


	Lommel		Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.58	3.25	2.58	Watch
	2.71	3.35	2.63
	2.62	3.4	2.57	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.58	3.13	2.48
	2.6	3.2	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.47)	3.23 ↑ (3.15)	2.55 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
35.5%

Draw
28.4%

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.2%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patro Eisden Maasmechelen than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lommel - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lommel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Eisden will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Eisden (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Eisden (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ivezic N. (G) 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 14. Tolinsson J. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 9. van Duiven J. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 6. Pelupessy J. 18. Lopez L. 30. Seuntjens R. 10. Reyners T.	16. Devriendt J. (G) 55. Muanza J. 14. Renson J. (C) 4. Borry K. 13. Prychynenko D. 39. Robberechts M. 6. Masangu K. 44. Nainggolan R. 11. Rais A. 85. Dony A. 9. Rousseau L.
Substitutes
3. Eyoma T. 25. Lama J. 34. Oware H. 55. Ramundo M. (G) 73. Reumers A. 8. Rommens N. 98. Salah M. 77. Tewelde F. 93. Vancsa Z.	21. Boogmans S. 1. Gelade G. (G) 17. Lefrancq I. 19. Mbaku Mbabit J. 10. M'barki R. 5. Olivier B. 31. Orye N. 62. Penin A.
Coaches
Johnson L.	Stijnen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Seuntjens R. ⚽, Reyners T. (A),
38', van Duiven J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Seuntjens R. ↓, Vancsa Z. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Nainggolan R. ⚽,
60', Masangu K. 🟨,
71', Reyners T. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
74', Prychynenko D. 🟨,
75', Rais A. ↓, Lefrancq I. ↑,
77', Borry K. 🟨,
79', Lopez L. ↓, Rommens N. ↑,
87', Robberechts M. ↓, Penin A. ↑,
87', Nainggolan R. ↓, Orye N. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Lommel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lommel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Patro Eisden	6	1	0	5	7:12	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Lommel - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.04%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.01.26	RFC Liège - Lommel	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Lommel - Eupen	3:2 ✺
16.01.26	Genk U23 - Lommel	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Puskás Academy - Lommel	1:3 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
19.12.25	Lommel - Lierse	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWWWW
- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.01.26	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	RWDM Brussels - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:4 ✺
17.01.26	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Kortrijk	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Lokeren - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:1 ✺
18.12.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Eupen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
13.09.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lommel	0:2
15.03.25	Lommel - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0:1
08.12.24	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lommel	4:0
31.03.24	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lommel	3:0
24.11.23	Lommel - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:2
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lommel	0:2
Belgian National Division 1
14.04.18	Lommel - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	4:0

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