Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 25

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Edmond Machtens Stadium (Brussels)

Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)


	RWDM Brussels		Lokeren

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2	Watch
	3.1	3.45	2.1	Watch
	3.37	3.61	2.09
	2.99	3.7	2.18	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2
	3.2	3.51	2.06	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.54)	3.48 ↑ (3.33)	2.07 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RWDM Brussels
29%

Draw
26.5%

Lokeren
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.8%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RWDM Brussels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RWDM Brussels's form might have worsened.

Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokeren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RWDM Brussels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokeren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

RWDM Brussels - Lokeren Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. RWDM Brussels will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lokeren will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lathouwers B. (G) 99. Persyn T. 47. Verhaeghe M. 83. Lemmens M. (C) 31. Dodeigne N. 7. Sapata 6. Huguinho 30. Loune A. 29. Maurer A. 17. Adamo V. 26. Kestens P.	39. Baert Y. (G) 19. Lloci M. 33. Camara D. 3. Dianganga J. 16. Palacios J. 14. Janssen T. (C) 27. Van den Bergh R. 7. Brrou A. 25. Boonen I. 55. Van Aerschot S. 11. Mabanza V. R.
Substitutes
27. Chaib Y. 14. Dumont O. 8. Jacob Montes 19. Montoro F. 70. Nkurunziza M. (G) 5. Petitjean A. 20. Poku K. 45. Sanhaji B. 11. Ziani I.	22. Bayo A. 9. Boere T. 5. Boujouh N. 6. Brebels S. 8. Elejalde I. 28. Pau M. 1. Troost T. (G) 26. Vervaque J. 2. Vinck J.
Coaches
Bruno C.	Vreven S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Adamo V. ⚽, Sapata (A),
12', 1 - 1, Mabanza V. R. ⚽, Janssen T. (A),
16', 1 - 2, Verhaeghe M. (Own goal),
39', Dodeigne N. ↓, Chaib Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Chaib Y. 🟨,
68', Van den Bergh R. ↓, Pau M. ↑,
68', Boonen I. ↓, Brebels S. ↑,
70', Maurer A. 🟨,
70', Camara D. 🟨,
70', Persyn T. ↓, Sanhaji B. ↑,
70', Maurer A. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
80', Loune A. ↓, Ziani I. ↑,
80', Sapata ↓, Montoro F. ↑,
82', Van Aerschot S. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
85', Mabanza V. R. ↓, Boere T. ↑,
86', Janssen T. 🟨,
90+2', Huguinho 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RWDM Brussels won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, RWDM Brussels won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sporting Lokeren	6	3	1	2	13:11	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Lokeren - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.51%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RWDM Brussels
Belgian Challenger Pro League
08.02.26	Francs Borains - RWDM Brussels	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	RWDM Brussels - Gent U23	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Genk U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	RWDM Brussels - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:4 ✺
16.01.26	Seraing - RWDM Brussels	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWLL
- KSC Lokeren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.02.26	Lokeren - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Kortrijk - Lokeren	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Eupen - Lokeren	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lokeren - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Brugge U23 - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
16.08.25	Lokeren - RWDM Brussels	1:3
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.04.25	RWDM Brussels - Lokeren	3:2
24.04.25	Lokeren - RWDM Brussels	2:0
Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.03.25	RWDM Brussels - Lokeren	1:0
08.12.24	Lokeren - RWDM Brussels	1:4

RWDM Brussels - Lokeren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide