Match Info

BELARUS: Pershaya Liga - Round 23

Date: 6 September 2024, Friday

Location: Lokomotiv Stadium (Gomel)


	Lokomotiv Gomel		BATE 2

	1	X	2
	2.34	3.35	2.34
	2.07	3.52	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.76)	3.44 ↓ (3.58)	2.69 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Gomel
40.6%

Draw
26.1%

BATE 2
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

25.2%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

24.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Gomel's performance.

BATE 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BATE 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gomel than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Gomel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE 2 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BATE 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ginko A. (G) 89. Emelyanov D. 55. Kaplunov D. 22. Kirko I. 10. Krivosheev D. 33. Malitskiy K. 9. Markov P. 21. Milevskiy E. 97. Muzychenko Y. 24. Rabadanov M. 8. Zhestkin I. (C)	99. Martinovich D. (G) 8. Baranov I. (C) 16. Chernykh I. 12. Chuevskiy E. 11. Golovachenko V. 44. Mardas M. 21. Orlovskyi V. 10. Rusakov E. 15. Shkondin A. 14. Telesh M. 4. Vergeichik D.
Substitutes
27. Azerskiy E. 44. Izhakovskiy S. 77. Khvastukhin K. 17. Krasnov A. 11. Krivorot S. 25. Kuzmenok I. 88. Ryzhchenko A. (G) 7. Starostenko N. 99. Telepnev E.	6. Brelunenko I. 18. Chikilevsky A. 22. Kisel V. 30. Pankratov B. (G) 9. Petrovich A. 5. Protasenya G. 17. Sakhonchik A. 7. Shevchik Z. 19. Shumskiy Y. 3. Sinkevich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Orlovskyi V. ⚽, Shkondin A. (A),
39', Kaplunov D. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Golovachenko V. ⚽, Orlovskyi V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Muzychenko Y. ↓, Azerskiy E. ↑,
58', Rusakov E. ↓, Sakhonchik A. ↑,
70', Krivosheev D. ↓, Khvastukhin K. ↑,
75', Mardas M. ↓, Protasenya G. ↑,
75', Golovachenko V. ↓, Petrovich A. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Emelyanov D. ⚽,
84', Zhestkin I. ↓, Krivorot S. ↑,
84', Milevskiy E. ↓, Izhakovskiy S. ↑,
90+4', Chuevskiy E. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 7).

Recent matches Lokomotiv Gomel is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

BATE 2 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently BATE 2 have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
25.08.24	Lokomotiv Gomel - Ostrovets	4:0 ✺
05.08.24	ML Vitebsk - Lokomotiv Gomel	3:0 ✺
01.08.24	Niva Dolbizno - Lokomotiv Gomel	2:0 ✺
19.07.24	Torpedo-BelAZ 2 - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:3 ✺
06.07.24	Lokomotiv Gomel - Belshina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWL
- BATE 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
26.08.24	BATE 2 - Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Ostrovets - BATE 2	3:1 ✺
05.08.24	Baranovichi - BATE 2	0:1 ✺
01.08.24	ML Vitebsk - BATE 2	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Volna Pinsk - BATE 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLWLL

Lokomotiv Gomel - BATE 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide