The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 39.1%
Draw 25.3%
Zenit Petersburg U19 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
26.5%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
26.2%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Zenit Petersburg U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow U19 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Petersburg U19 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Vladimirov Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Levandovskiy B. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 1 - 2, Fedonin D. ⚽,
84', 1 - 3, Yudin A. ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv U19 won 3.
In recent outings, Lokomotiv U19 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Zenit U19 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv U19 has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:13 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.5 per game).
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