The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 34.3%
Draw 32.3%
Cherno More Varna 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
29.7%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
27.8%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Plovdiv's form might have worsened.
Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cherno More Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 2. Cova A. 4. Chindris A. 13. Lucas Ryan 5. Pavlov T. 12. Ali E. 7. Idriz S. 22. Ivanov I. 39. Umarbaev P. 3. Ali D. 29. Longville C.
31. Hristov D. (G) 50. Tombak E. 3. Atanasov Z. 5. Squadrone L. 37. Kerchev V. 71. Panayotov V. 24. Teles D. 8. Donchev A. 11. Achi M. 10. Sidney C. 19. Lazarov G.
Substitutes
30. Aleksandrov A. 10. Dzhelepov Y. 26. Kirashki D. 11. Leijten R. 44. Petrovic M. 6. Trdan M. 9. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
18. Andreev P. 53. Banev M. 7. Barandas M. 29. Beyhan B. 99. Bounaas I. 26. Joao Bandaro 22. Kostadinov N. 13. Nyagolov E. 9. Padilla J. 14. Todorov A. 81. Tomov K. (G)
Coaches
Kosic D.
Iliev I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Leijten R. ⚽, Umarbaev P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Barandas M. ↓, Kolev A. ↑,
55', Idriz S. 🟨,
68', Kolev A. 🟨,
70', Tasev I. ↓, Bounaas I. ↑,
70', Nyagolov E. ↓, Joao Bandaro ↑,
71', Cova A. 🟨,
76', Leijten R. ↓, Ali D. ↑,
76', Umarbaev P. ↓, Trdan M. ↑,
83', Teles D. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
83', Panayotov V. ↓, Andreev P. ↑,
87', Lucas Ryan 🟨,
87', Sidney C. 🟨,
89', Ivanov I. ↓, Velev A. ↑,
89', Petrovic M. ↓, Chindris A. ↑,
90+1', Donchev A. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cherno More has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Lokomotiv Plovdiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
Bulgaria
Croatia
Slovenia
Usa
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Milosavljevic B. (G) 
Cova A. 
Chindris A. 
Lucas Ryan 
Pavlov T. 
Umarbaev P. 
Ali D. 
Longville C. 
Squadrone L. 
Teles D. 
Leijten R. 
Petrovic M. 
Trdan M. 
Zovko P. (G) 
Bounaas I. 
Padilla J. 
