Match Info

HNL - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Lokomotiva Zagreb		Istra 1961

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.5
				Watch
	1.68	3.65	4.75
	1.69	3.75	5.12
	1.78	3.72	4.29	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.5
	1.73	3.75	4.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.12)	3.65 ↑ (3.23)	4.66 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lokomotiva Zagreb
54.5%

Draw
25.5%

Istra 1961
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiva Zagreb's performance.

Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Istra 1961 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiva Zagreb that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Istra 1961 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lokomotiva Zagreb will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Posavec J. (G) 23. Vesovic M. 20. Kolinger D. (C) 5. Jukic T. 16. Dajcer L. 17. Pajac M. 29. Vasilj J. 6. Boskovic B. 10. Subotic M. 28. Belcar L. 15. Stojakovic A.	1. Kolic F. (G) 44. Hrvatin R. 3. Nasraoui M. 24. Taraba F. 26. Heister M. 20. Ahmeti D. 18. Ayuma I. 17. Frederiksen E. 8. Mauric A. 11. Gorican S. 9. Prevljak S. (C)
Substitutes
33. Kamenovic D. 2. Kralevski T. 14. Lorber M. 19. Posavac F. 9. Sabra I. 32. Savatovic L. (G) 18. Situm M. 25. Smiljanic P. 11. Susak M. 7. Trajkovski A. 30. Vukovic D.	77. Agada C. 25. Albarracin G. 32. Celija D. 10. Loncar S. 16. Miettinen S. 66. Momoh M. 29. Obando A. 40. Paus-Kunst J. (G) 7. Rozic V. 13. Sepic N. 30. Skafar Zuzic N. 23. Stulac L.
Coaches
Jelavic N.	Riera O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Heister M. (Own goal),
45+1', 2 - 0, Boskovic B. ⚽, Pajac M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Frederiksen E. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
46', Hrvatin R. ↓, Sepic N. ↑,
50', Boskovic B. 🟨,
56', Ahmeti D. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
64', Jukic T. 🟥,
66', Ayuma I. ↓, Albarracin G. ↑,
66', Mauric A. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
71', Vasilj J. ↓, Situm M. ↑,
73', Albarracin G. 🟨,
79', Stojakovic A. ↓, Sabra I. ↑,
80', Boskovic B. ↓, Lorber M. ↑,
80', Situm M. 🟨,
90+3', Subotic M. ↓, Kamenovic D. ↑,
90+3', Situm M. ↓, Kralevski T. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 0.

Recent form of Lokomotiva has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Istra 1961 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lokomotiva might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lokomotiva: Katic I. (Shoulder Injury) Leovac M. (Injury) Sigali L. (Injury)

There will not play in Istra 1961: Kadusic A. (Yellow Cards) Kumar R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Kamenovic D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Istra 1961	9	3	3	3	17:14	3	12
7	Lok. Zagreb	8	2	1	5	11:16	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL
07.04.26	Vukovar 91 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	0:5 ✺
15.03.26	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
10.03.26	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 penalties ✺
Croatian HNL
07.03.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLLT
- Istra 1961
Croatian HNL
07.04.26	Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split	1:3 ✺
20.03.26	Istra 1961 - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Rijeka - Istra 1961	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Istra 1961 - Osijek	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
30.01.26	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1
25.10.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961	1:2
09.08.25	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:2
03.05.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961	0:0
Croatian Cup
04.03.25	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	3:0
Croatian HNL
28.02.25	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	3:2
01.12.24	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961	1:2

Upcoming Matches