Match Info

HNL - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Aldo Drosina (Pula) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bel D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:00	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	20:00	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Istra 1961		Gorica

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.9
	1.88	3.50	3.90
	1.85	3.4	3.85
	1.87	3.6	4.56
	1.78	3.74	4.26	Watch
	1.8	3.45	4.45
	1.85	3.7	4.13	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.92)	3.55 ↑ (3.54)	4.11 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Istra 1961
51.1%

Draw
26.2%

Gorica
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.4%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Istra 1961 - Gorica Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gorica will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gorica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolic F. (G) 44. Hrvatin R. 4. Kumar R. 16. Miettinen S. 13. Sepic N. 88. Doumbia D. 8. Mauric A. (C) 22. Frederiksen E. 20. Ahmeti D. 30. Skafar Zuzic N. 9. Isaac	1. Josipovic R. (G) 2. Braut F. 32. Filipovic J. (C) 15. Stevanovic D. 5. Costa G. 6. Lacoux T. 66. Frigan J. 25. Bogojevic B. 10. Brodic F. 20. Vrzic L. 9. Mijic P.
Substitutes
25. Albarracin G. 39. Brajkovic T. 27. Celija D. 11. Gorican S. 5. Hodzic D. 34. Kablar M. 97. Kadusic A. 66. Momoh M. 3. Nasraoui M. 40. Paus-Kunst J. (G) 23. Ukich S.	7. Bakic O. 26. Carole K. 4. Custovic K. 34. Cvijanovic I. 50. Erceg A. 18. Kardum B. 71. Matijas D. (G) 24. Pavicic D. 45. Peric S. 8. Pranjic J. 67. Prgomet T. 30. Zarkov D. (G)
Coaches
Cabello J.	Carevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Doumbia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', Doumbia D. ↓, Albarracin G. ↑,
72', Skafar Zuzic N. ↓, Ukich S. ↑,
74', Bogojevic B. ↓, Pranjic J. ↑,
74', Costa G. ↓, Cvijanovic I. ↑,
79', Ukich S. 🟨,
81', Brodic F. ↓, Pavicic D. ↑,
84', Hrvatin R. ↓, Kadusic A. ↑,
84', Mauric A. ↓, Kablar M. ↑,
90+2', Frigan J. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
90+2', Filipovic J. ↓, Peric S. ↑,
90+5', Miettinen S. ↓, Nasraoui M. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 1, Pranjic J. ⚽, Pavicic D. (A),
90+11', Cvijanovic I. 🟨,
90+12', Vrzic L. 🟨,
90+12', Isaac 🟨,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 6th and 10th in the Relegation ~ Prva NL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Istra 1961 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Istra 1961 for this game.

Confirmed absences for Istra 1961: Albarracin G. (Inactive) Jaganjac H. (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Gorica: Kavelj A. (Inactive) Kucis S. (Inactive) Sule W. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Istra 1961 has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:20 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Istra 1961 against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:6 goals (averaging 0.7:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Istra 1961	12	4	4	4	21:18	3	16
10	Gorica	11	1	4	6	7:15	-8	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Istra 1961
Croatian HNL
13.09.26	Istra 1961 - Rudeš	3:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
08.09.26	Zagorec Krapina - Istra 1961	0:5 ✺
Croatian HNL
04.09.26	Varaždin - Istra 1961	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Rijeka - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTTL
- HNK Gorica
Croatian HNL
14.09.26	Gorica - Varaždin	2:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
09.09.26	Uskok Klis - Gorica	1:3 AET ✺
Croatian HNL
05.09.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Gorica - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Slaven Belupo - Gorica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
27.04.26	Gorica - Istra 1961	1:0
21.02.26	Istra 1961 - Gorica	0:2
23.11.25	Gorica - Istra 1961	1:0
29.08.25	Istra 1961 - Gorica	1:0
12.04.25	Gorica - Istra 1961	3:2
31.01.25	Istra 1961 - Gorica	0:0
27.10.24	Gorica - Istra 1961	1:0

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