Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 14

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Lokomotive Leipzig		Energie Cottbus

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.66
	4.2	3.75	1.75
	4.29	3.78	1.79
	4.29	3.78	1.76
	3.9	3.8	1.65
	4.1	3.94	1.72
	3.95	3.7	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (5.1)	3.78 ↓ (4.35)	1.73 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotive Leipzig
22.3%

Draw
24.4%

Energie Cottbus
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

21.3%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

21.1%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotive Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Energie Cottbus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Energie Cottbus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lokomotive Leipzig - Energie Cottbus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotive Leipzig won 0.

Recent matches Lokomotive Leipzig is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cottbus is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cottbus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cottbus is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Lokomotive Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotive Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
08.11.23	Hansa Rostock II - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Lokomotive Leipzig	5:0 ✺
06.10.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Hertha Berlin II	3:3 ✺
29.09.23	Luckenwalde - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTL
- Energie Cottbus
German Regionalliga Nordost
05.11.23	Energie Cottbus - Babelsberg	4:0 ✺
29.10.23	Greifswald - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Energie Cottbus - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Eilenburg - Energie Cottbus	1:3 ✺
30.09.23	Energie Cottbus - Meuselwitz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
19.03.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Energie Cottbus	0:2
08.10.22	Energie Cottbus - Lokomotive Leipzig	3:1
19.04.22	Energie Cottbus - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:1
10.11.21	Lokomotive Leipzig - Energie Cottbus	1:3
27.09.20	Lokomotive Leipzig - Energie Cottbus	1:1
08.02.20	Energie Cottbus - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:2
17.08.19	Lokomotive Leipzig - Energie Cottbus	3:2

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