Match Info

Regionalliga Play Offs - Final

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Lokomotive Leipzig		TSV Havelse

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.5	3.5
	1.75	3.65	4.3
	1.99	3.65	4
	1.88	3.46	3.73	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.73	3.66	4.04
	1.75	3.65	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.08)	3.55 ↓ (3.65)	3.91 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotive Leipzig
50.1%

Draw
26.1%

TSV Havelse
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

25.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotive Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotive Leipzig's performance.

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSV Havelse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotive Leipzig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSV Havelse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lokomotive Leipzig - TSV Havelse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, Ilic M. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, Cevis D. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by Lokomotive Leipzig have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Havelse is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lokomotive Leipzig will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
18.05.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:4 ✺
10.05.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Plauen	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Chemnitzer - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Greifswald	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTTL
- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
18.05.25	TSV Havelse - Oldenburg	4:1 ✺
10.05.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - TSV Havelse	1:3 ✺
02.05.25	TSV Havelse - Kickers Emden	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Phönix Lübeck - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	TSV Havelse - Teutonia Ottensen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLTW

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