Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 22

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium (Samtredia)


	Samtredia		Lokomotivi Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.65	3.8
	1.85	3.69	3.61
	1.98	3.04	3.93	Watch
	1.78	3.48	4.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.32)	3.47 ↑ (2.7)	3.84 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samtredia
49.8%

Draw
26.4%

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

33.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

34%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samtredia's performance.

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samtredia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Samtredia will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Samtredia will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kurdadze B. (G) 3. Dvalishvili J. 13. Gadrani G. 29. Djukic B. 15. Kveladze G. 20. Gvishiani G. 32. Lopez B. 37. Mandzhgaladze G. (C) 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 9. Kapanadze T. 36. Kutalia L.	1. Nanava L. (G) 16. Shashiashvili S. 3. Molashvili T. 4. Bukia D. (C) 30. Dvalishvili S. 21. Kvelashvili N. 38. Assaye D. 6. Chileshe F. 11. Kalandadze L. 20. Todua G. 19. Kokhreidze L.
Substitutes
12. Bediashvili G. (G) 21. Chikovani T. 17. Elbakidze L. 14. Gauto R. 4. Kaladze L. 24. Pilpani B. 27. Samurkasovi D. 11. Tchamba C.	14. Amoako D. 23. Archaia L. 32. Gogatishvili G. 15. Gogokhia N. 34. Gogoli D. 9. Menteshashvili L. 13. Metreveli L. 17. Ninidze N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Djukic B. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Gvishiani G. ⚽, Kapanadze T. (A),
37', Kvelashvili N. 🟨,
40', Mandzhgaladze G. 🟨,
45+3', Chileshe F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Todua G. ↓, Amoako D. ↑,
46', Kvelashvili N. ↓, Menteshashvili L. ↑,
64', Dvalishvili S. ↓, Gogatishvili G. ↑,
64', Molashvili T. ↓, Gogoli D. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Kutalia L. ⚽, Mandzhgaladze G. (A),
67', Assaye D. 🟨,
68', Assaye D. ↓, Ninidze N. ↑,
70', Gvishiani G. ↓, Elbakidze L. ↑,
70', Kapanadze T. ↓, Tchamba C. ↑,
83', Lopez B. ↓, Vibliani N. ↑,
90', Kutalia L. ↓, Samurkasovi D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Samtredia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Samtredia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
31.08.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	0:3 ✺
24.08.25	Samtredia - Rustavi	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Samtredia - Iberia 1999 2	4:0 ✺
11.08.25	Samtredia - Merani Martvili	4:1 ✺
04.08.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Samtredia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLWWL
- Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
30.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Merani Martvili	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:0 ✺
18.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gonio	1:1 ✺
11.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	4:2 ✺
04.08.25	Spaeri - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
20.05.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Samtredia	2:1
02.04.25	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.11.21	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Samtredia	4:2
13.08.21	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:0
16.05.21	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Samtredia	3:1
21.03.21	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	3:4
17.08.20	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:0

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