Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Soevereinstadion (Lommel)

Referee: De Keyzer T. (Bel)


	Lommel		Oostende

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.1
	1.75	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.45	4.09
	1.81	3.75	4.4
	1.7	3.6	4.2
	1.76	3.65	4.25
	1.74	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.54)	3.61 ↓ (4.12)	4.24 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
52.6%

Draw
25.6%

Oostende
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

20.7%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lommel's form might have worsened.

Oostende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lommel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lommel - Oostende Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lommel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Oostende will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. De Busser J. (G) 2. Aguilar K. 14. Tolinsson J. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 15. Schoofs L. 8. Dermane K. 23. Granell A. 32. Talvitie J. 11. Ahmed Fatah A. 30. Vancsa Z.	1. Bossin L. (G) 36. Wylin S. 2. Vinck J. 22. Decoene M. 3. Medley Z. 5. Laes B. 23. Amade A. 16. Dewaele S. 8. Henderson E. 28. Hartwig L. 90. Berte M.
Substitutes
17. Diego Rosa 91. Franssen T. 24. Gordic D. 7. Henkens R. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 27. Lalic L. 18. McGrath D. 34. Oware H. 21. Santos A.	94. Albanese A. 77. Atanga D. 6. D'Arpino M. 17. Fuentes J. 13. Gabriel B. (G) 80. Maertens N. 20. Musayev A. 9. Perez D. 25. Van Daele C.
Coaches
Bould S.	Shoffner J.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Relegation: ) and 14).

Lommel in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Oostende is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lommel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lommel is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lommel to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lommel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
10.02.24	Zulte Waregem - Lommel	0:3 ✺
07.02.24	Lommel - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Lommel - Dender EH	2:2 ✺
26.01.24	Standard Liège U23 - Lommel	0:4 ✺
13.01.24	Brugge U23 - Lommel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTWW
- KV Oostende
Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.02.24	Francs Borains - Oostende	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Oostende - RFC Liège	0:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
08.02.24	Oostende - Royal Antwerp	1:1 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.02.24	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Oostende	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Oostende - Deinze	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
13.08.23	Oostende - Lommel	0:1

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