Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 22

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Patrostadion (Maasmechelen)

Referee: Put B. (Bel)


	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen		ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.1	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.45	7.1	Watch
	1.4	4.65	7.74
	1.41	4.6	7.23	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.42	4.14	7.57
	1.38	4.25	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)	4.31 ↑ (3.74)	7.38 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
66%

Draw
21.4%

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.6%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

23.4%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patro Eisden Maasmechelen's performance.

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patro Eisden Maasmechelen than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - ROC de Charleroi Marchienne Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Eisden (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - ROCCM (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Patro Eisden Maasmechelen will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Eisden (votes: 2 - 50%). ROCCM (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Devriendt J. (G) 55. Muanza J. 14. Renson J. (C) 4. Borry K. 85. Dony A. 39. Robberechts M. 6. Masangu K. 8. Peeters S. 11. Rais A. 44. Nainggolan R. 9. Rousseau L.	1. Vitasek D. (G) 4. Jahic H. 28. Spago E. 2. Sarkic O. 77. Ferrara L. 12. Ramalho J. 17. Cachbach M. 5. Thea A. 11. Florica L. 81. Dailly N. 18. Berberi R.
Substitutes
2. De Schrijver P. 1. Gelade G. (G) 17. Lefrancq I. 19. Mbaku Mbabit J. 10. M'barki R. 5. Olivier B. 31. Orye N. 62. Penin A. 13. Prychynenko D.	7. Cisse M. 38. Diallo T. 10. Ion R. 88. Kari S. 21. Kopic V. 13. Medfai M. 3. Ndedi Kegne K. J. 19. Sahli J. 40. Van Hecke M. (G)
Coaches
Stijnen S.	Abdelli N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Peeters S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Rousseau L. ⚽, Nainggolan R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Rais A. ↓, M'barki R. ↑,
61', Florica L. ↓, Ion R. ↑,
61', Berberi R. ↓, Medfai M. ↑,
67', Thea A. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
81', Nainggolan R. 🟨,
82', Peeters S. ↓, Prychynenko D. ↑,
84', Ramalho J. ↓, Sahli J. ↑,
88', Rousseau L. ↓, Orye N. ↑,
88', Robberechts M. ↓, Penin A. ↑,
90', Jahic H. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Eisden is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ROCCM is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Eisden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Eisden is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Eisden won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Eisden won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Patro Eisden	6	1	0	5	7:12	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
24.01.26	RWDM Brussels - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:4 ✺
17.01.26	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Kortrijk	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Lokeren - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:1 ✺
18.12.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Eupen	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWTLW
- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
23.01.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Brugge U23	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Eupen - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:2 ✺
16.12.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lommel	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	RWDM Brussels - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.12.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0:0
Belgian National Division 1
06.05.23	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1
07.03.20	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	4:1
26.10.19	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:0

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