Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Soevereinstadion (Lommel)

Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1


	Lommel		RAAL La Louvière

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.33	1.42	Watch
	5	4	1.5
	6	4.5	1.46	Watch
	6.44	4.63	1.45
	6.34	4.38	1.47	Watch
	5.8	4	1.53
	6.4	4.44	1.46
	6	4.5	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.03 ↑ (4.76)	4.35 ↑ (4.04)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
15.4%

Draw
21.4%

RAAL La Louvière
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

23.1%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

22.6%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RAAL La Louvière's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lommel - RAAL La Louvière Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: RAAL La Louvière will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pieklak M. (G) 38. Amankwah Y. 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 5. Wouters D. 34. Owari H. 6. Pelupessy J. 17. Montano J. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 27. Lalic L. 11. Santos A. 9. van Duiven J.	21. Peano M. (G) 4. Faye W. 13. Maisonneuve M. 25. Lamego D. 7. Gobitaka F. 11. Liongola J. 8. Gueulette S. 15. Lahssaini S. 14. Belkheir M. 9. Guindo M. 28. Botella I.
Substitutes
66. Franssen T. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 8. Kebe I. 56. Lama J. 64. Letsosa T. 7. Mununga T. 20. Siri N. 77. Tewelde F. 10. Vetokele I.	31. Camara H. 38. Diallo T. 27. Eyongo R. 23. Ito J. 44. Klomp D. 98. Maes O. 70. Nagera K. 10. Pau M. 51. Sidibe S. 1. Valkenaers A. (G)
Coaches
Johnson L.	Taquin F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Wouters D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Gobitaka F. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
61', Amankwah Y. 🟨,
66', Guindo M. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
72', Owari H. ↓, Tewelde F. ↑,
72', van Duiven J. ↓, Vetokele I. ↑,
72', Montano J. ↓, Siri N. ↑,
72', Lalic L. ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
74', 🟨,
78', 1 - 0, Schoofs L. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Amankwah Y. (Own goal),
82', Lahssaini S. ↓, Maes O. ↑,
82', Botella I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Belkheir M. ⚽, Maisonneuve M. (A),
90+5', Gobitaka F. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).

Recent matches Lommel is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

La Louvière is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

La Louvière could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match La Louvière is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lommel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Lommel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.04.25	RWDM Brussels - Lommel	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Lommel - Genk U23	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Lokeren - Lommel	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Lommel - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Zulte Waregem - Lommel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWLLW
- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.04.25	RAAL La Louvière - Francs Borains	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Genk U23 - RAAL La Louvière	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	RAAL La Louvière - Lierse	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	RFC Liège - RAAL La Louvière	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	RAAL La Louvière - Eupen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
24.11.24	RAAL La Louvière - Lommel	5:1
Belgian Cup
24.09.22	Lommel - RAAL La Louvière	2:0

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