Match Info

Date: 20 July 2021, Tuesday


	Londrina		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.1
	2.25	2.8	3.2	Watch
	2.4	2.85	3.15
	2.57	2.98	3.24
	2.3	2.87	3.25
	2.47	2.98	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.17)	2.89 ↓ (3.11)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
38.9%

Draw
32%

Confiança
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

22.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Londrina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Confiança, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Londrina - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Londrina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Confiança has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Confiança could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Londrina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
17.07.21	Goiás - Londrina	0:0 ✺
13.07.21	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
09.07.21	Londrina - Guarani	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
06.07.21	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.07.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLTL
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
16.07.21	Confiança - Guarani	1:4 ✺
13.07.21	Avaí - Confiança	2:1 ✺
10.07.21	Confiança - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
03.07.21	Vasco da Gama - Confiança	1:0 ✺
29.06.21	Confiança - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
18.10.15	Londrina - Confiança	1:0
04.10.15	Confiança - Londrina	0:0

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