Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 11

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Correia D. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.4
	1.79	3.4	4.25
	1.83	3.49	4.91
	1.75	3.4	4.75
	1.78	3.54	4.7	Watch
	1.8	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.95)	3.45 ↑ (3.13)	4.54 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
52.3%

Draw
27.1%

Londrina
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

29.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

29.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Londrina will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampaio Corrêa: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 4. Gustavo Henrique 13. Joecio 6. Vitinho 20. Mauricio Maranhao 5. Jhony Douglas 11. Pimentinha (C) 15. Eloir 23. Ytalo 22. Vinicius Alves	1. Lucas Frigeri (G) 2. Leo Morais 4. Gabriel 3. Da Silva 11. Gustavo Salomao 6. Guilherme Lacerda 10. Higor Leite 8. Moises Gaucho 5. Joao Paulo (C) 7. Paulinho Moccelin 23. Matheus Lucas
Substitutes
18. Alexandre Tam 17. Alyson Neves 19. Bill 3. Caua (G) 7. Claudio Cebolinha 14. Leo Silva 8. Luiz Otavio 9. Patrick Carvalho 10. Rafael Vila 16. Rodrigo Souza 12. Thiago Braga (G) 21. Venicius Cascais	9. Caio Mancha 16. Carlos Jatoba 17. Clinton 14. Ezequiel 18. Iago Dias 12. Saulo (G) 15. Victor Hugo 20. Vinicius Barata 19. Vinicius Jau 13. Xandao
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Gusmao P. C.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Londrina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sampaio Corrêa is a favorite.

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Fabio Aguiar (Injury) Matheus Martins (Injury) Para (Injury) Pimentinha (Injury) Ytalo (Injury)

There will not play in Londrina: Clayton (Injury) Garraty (Injury) Junior Dutra (Injury) Lucas Coelho (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
03.06.23	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
29.05.23	Chapecoense - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
24.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	0:0 ✺
20.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Guarani - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTWL
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
04.06.23	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
27.05.23	Ituano - Londrina	3:1 ✺
24.05.23	Londrina - Ceará	1:3 ✺
19.05.23	Tombense - Londrina	0:2 ✺
14.05.23	Londrina - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.11.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	2:1
19.07.22	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
03.10.21	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1
03.07.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	1:0
20.10.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	1:2
01.07.18	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
12.11.16	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	1:3

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