Match Info

Serie B - Round 25

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD) (Londrina)

Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Londrina		Juventude

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.10	2.10	Watch
	3.10	2.95	2.30
	3.35	3.00	2.28
	3.83	3.00	2.29
	3.21	3.04	2.36	Watch
	3.75	2.95	2.20
	3.72	2.91	2.17	Watch
	3.50	3.00	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.16)	2.99 ↑ (2.84)	2.24 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
26.6%

Draw
31.4%

Juventude
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

32.8%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

32.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Londrina - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Londrina (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Londrina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 44. Caio Rodrigues 4. Wallace (C) 15. Gabriel Lacerda 75. Kaue Leonardo 20. Joao Vitor 8. Lucas Marques 33. Kevyn 77. Guilherme Dantas 9. Gilberto 23. Willian Pottker	93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 3. Titi 47. Marcos Paulo 13. Aderlan 8. Lucas Mineiro 29. Gabriel Pires 16. Diogo Barbosa 75. Rai Silva 25. Alisson Safira 10. MP
Substitutes
13. Andre Dhominique 6. Chumbinho 34. Heron 17. Joao Coni 27. Murilo Sousa 2. Nino Paraiba 11. Pablo Dyego 28. Rai Nascimento 5. Tarik 96. Thalis 7. Vitinho Mota 12. Zanella (G)	9. Alan Kardec 11. Fabio Lima 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 5. Luan Martins 72. Lucas Alves 44. Mandaca 22. Nathan Santos 7. Pablo Roberto 30. Patryck 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Rai Ramos 21. Ruan Carneiro (G)
Coaches
Rogerio Micale	Mauricio Barbieri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lucas Marques ↓, Tarik ↑,
66', Alisson Safira ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
66', Gilberto ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
66', Willian Pottker ↓, Joao Coni ↑,
66', Gabriel Pires ↓, Luan Martins ↑,
74', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Mandaca ↑,
74', MP ↓, Lucas Alves ↑,
85', Rai Silva ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
90+2', Kaue Leonardo ↓, Heron ↑,
90+2', Kevyn ↓, Nino Paraiba ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 0.

Londrina is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Juventude is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Last Results with these Odds

Londrina - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 29.45%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Juventude - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.77%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
22.08.26	Ceará - Londrina	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Londrina - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Sport Recife - Londrina	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Goiás - Londrina	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Londrina - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
25.08.26	Juventude - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Goiás - Juventude	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Juventude - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.08.26	Juventude - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.04.26	Juventude - Londrina	1:0
21.10.23	Juventude - Londrina	2:2
28.06.23	Londrina - Juventude	1:2
27.09.18	Juventude - Londrina	0:0
08.06.18	Londrina - Juventude	0:1
13.10.17	Juventude - Londrina	0:2
24.06.17	Londrina - Juventude	2:2

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