Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sport Recife		Londrina

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.70	4.75
	1.62	3.45	5.1	Watch
	1.68	3.7	5.78
	1.65	3.65	5.4	Watch
	1.65	3.65	5.6
	1.63	3.57	5.73	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.52)	3.62 ↓ (4.1)	5.38 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
56.8%

Draw
25.8%

Londrina
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

22.8%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.9%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Sport Recife - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Marcelo Ajul 33. Kayky Almeida 60. Felipinho 23. Ze Gabriel (C) 29. Willian Oliveira 30. Chrystian Barletta 20. Diego Hernandez 25. Clayson 9. Pedro Perotti	30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 75. Kaue Leonardo 99. Yago Lincoln 15. Gabriel Lacerda 34. Heron 8. Lucas Marques (C) 7. Vitinho Mota 32. Joao Tavares 22. Joao Vitor 18. Paulinho Moccelin 23. Willian Pottker
Substitutes
5. Benevenuto 6. Biel Fonseca 21. Brenno (G) 10. de Pena Carlos 77. Dudu 96. Edson Lucas 28. Habraao 8. Juan Alano 31. Marlon Douglas 15. Murilo Rhikman 48. Pedro Martins 99. Ze Roberto	13. Andre Dhominique 44. Caio Rodrigues 9. Gilberto 55. Guilherme Dantas 33. Kevyn 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 27. Murilo Sousa 2. Nino Paraiba 11. Pablo Dyego 28. Rai Nascimento 5. Tarik 12. Zanella (G)
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo	Rogerio Micale

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Diego Hernandez ⚽, Clayson (A),
30', 1 - 1, Joao Vitor ⚽, Kaue Leonardo (A),
42', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
43', 2 - 1, Diego Hernandez ⚽, Clayson (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Rogerio Micale 🟥,
53', Joao Vitor 🟨,
69', Willian Pottker ↓, Gilberto ↑,
69', Vitinho Mota ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
70', Clayson ↓, Dudu ↑,
70', Diego Hernandez ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
70', Joao Tavares ↓, Guilherme Dantas ↑,
77', Heron ↓, Kevyn ↑,
82', Pedro Perotti ↓, Biel Fonseca ↑,
82', Claudinho ↓, Benevenuto ↑,
88', Lucas Marques ↓, Rai Nascimento ↑,
90+3', Felipinho 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4.

Recife has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Londrina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Recife is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Recife: Augusto (Yellow Cards) Biel Fonseca (Ankle Injury) Fabio Matheus (Ankle Injury) Yago Felipe (Coach's decision)

There will not play in Londrina: Geovane Meurer (Inactive) Thalis (Inactive) Wallace (Yellow Cards)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Recife won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	10	50
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
08.08.26	Vila Nova - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
27.07.26	Sport Recife - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
22.07.26	Goiás - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Sport Recife - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
10.07.26	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTTT
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
10.08.26	Goiás - Londrina	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Londrina - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:4 ✺
22.07.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Londrina	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Londrina - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
13.07.26	América Mineiro - Londrina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2
23.09.23	Sport Recife - Londrina	4:0
04.06.23	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2
22.10.22	Londrina - Sport Recife	2:1
09.07.22	Sport Recife - Londrina	2:0
24.09.19	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2
24.05.19	Sport Recife - Londrina	3:2

Upcoming Matches