Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 1 January 2024, Monday


	Long Eaton United		Barwell

	1	X	2
	8.25	5.25	1.26
	8	5	1.3
	7.57	6.5	1.27
	7.57	6.5	1.27
	9.5	5.5	1.2
	9.3	5.4	1.25
	8	5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.31 ↑ (6.4)	5.59 ↑ (4.75)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Long Eaton United
11%

Draw
16.4%

Barwell
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

19.1%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

17.7%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Long Eaton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barwell's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Long Eaton United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barwell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Long Eaton United - Barwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Long Eaton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barwell is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Barwell is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Long Eaton United
English Southern League Central Division
26.12.23	Mickleover Sports - Long Eaton United	5:1 ✺
23.12.23	Long Eaton United - Halesowen Town	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Royston Town - Long Eaton United	3:0 ✺
09.12.23	Long Eaton United - Berkhamsted	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	St Ives Town - Long Eaton United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWL
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
26.12.23	Barwell - Coalville Town	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	AFC Telford United - Barwell	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Barwell - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
09.12.23	Leamington - Barwell	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Barwell - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWTL

Long Eaton United - Barwell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide