Match Info

Division 1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Carlisle Grounds (Bray) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	19:45	LOI TV


	Bray Wanderers		Kerry

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.50	3.40
	1.9	3.65	3.4
	1.94	3.81	3.73
	1.86	3.74	3.54	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.65
	1.89	3.75	3.65
	1.9	3.7	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.01)	3.69 ↑ (3.55)	3.54 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bray Wanderers
49%

Draw
25%

Kerry
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

27.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bray Wanderers - Kerry Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bray Wanderers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Bray Wanderers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hogan R. (G) 2. Kizenga A. 4. Duggan J. 12. Osagie D. 27. O'Shea D. 6. Sesay J. B. 10. Ferizaj R. 18. McCormack B. 20. Sammy T. 21. Mustali E. 17. Oluwabiyi A.	1. Connor M. (G) 29. Lee E. 34. Keane R. 14. Hakkinen J. 18. Aladesanusi S. 24. Borden V. 41. Bargary C. 17. Brosnan C. 28. Brookwell N. 7. McGrath S. 10. Murphy C.
Substitutes
11. Achara I. 14. Azede N. 30. Cheese E. 26. Flynn R. 5. Havales S. 15. Kelly R. 7. Knight C. 25. McGuinnes S. (G) 19. Reddy Z. 23. Ryan J.	51. Campbell C. 44. Halwax H. (G) 35. Healy A. 37. McCormack C. 11. Okwute D. 21. Palmer L. 23. Perez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Sesay J. B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Lee E. 🟨,
54', Brosnan C. 🟥,
62', Keane R. ↓, Healy A. ↑,
70', Okwute D. ↓, Palmer L. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Sammy T. ⚽,
78', Ferizaj R. ↓, Cheese E. ↑,
78', Sesay J. B. ↓, Ryan J. ↑,
82', Bargary C. 🟨,
83', Mustali E. ↓, Azede N. ↑,
85', McCormack B. ↓, Knight C. ↑,
85', Oluwabiyi A. ↓, Kelly R. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Duggan J. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bray Wanderers won 3.

Bray Wanderers has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kerry is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bray Wanderers is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Bray Wanderers has recorded 13 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:22 (averaging 2.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bray Wanderers against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:11 goals (averaging 2.6:1.4 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bray Wanderers
Irish Division 1
24.10.26	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	1:2 ✺
16.10.26	Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Bray Wanderers - Wexford	2:2 ✺
02.10.26	Bray Wanderers - Cobh Ramblers	1:4 ✺
25.09.26	University College Dublin - Bray Wanderers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTLW
- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
24.10.26	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	1:2 ✺
16.10.26	Kerry - Cork City	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Cobh Ramblers - Kerry	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Finn Harps - Kerry	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Kerry - Wexford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
24.10.26	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	1:2
11.09.26	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	0:1
31.07.26	Bray Wanderers - Kerry	0:4
22.05.26	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	2:2
27.03.26	Bray Wanderers - Kerry	2:1
17.10.25	Bray Wanderers - Kerry	5:1
20.06.25	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	2:1

Bray Wanderers - Kerry