The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Longford Town 36.1%
Draw 26.5%
Athlone Town 37.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.1%
25.1%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
24.8%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Longford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Athlone Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athlone Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Longford Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athlone Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Longford Town - Athlone Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moore K. (G) 6. Adenekan S. 12. Omorehiomwan C. 5. McCarthy T. 21. Hough J. 9. Ugbesia S. 28. Moore S. 10. Doran A. 20. O'Brien A. (C) 16. Bailey J. 15. Murtagh D.
1. Clarke B. (C) 29. Kehir J. 5. O'Connor E. 27. Crawford J. 24. Cleary C. 7. Connolly D. 8. Connolly A. 11. McManus B. 18. Grogan P. 9. Ferry P. 19. Smith W.
Substitutes
18. Brady S. 27. Brunton K. 26. Egan J. 7. George D. 8. Manuel P. 4. McKenna D. 23. Paraschiv A. 14. Williams D. 25. Woodcock L.
36. Ayinde A. 23. Considine T. 33. Farnham J. 16. Lawless Z. 10. Lyons R. 15. Miranda L. 3. O'Connor K. 13. Trainor A. (G) 2. Webb R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Bailey J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Connolly D. 🟨,
60', Ugbesia S. ↓, Manuel P. ↑,
68', McManus B. 🟨,
70', Manuel P. 🟨,
74', Bailey J. ↓, Paraschiv A. ↑,
75', Grogan P. ↓, Lyons R. ↑,
75', Connolly D. ↓, Considine T. ↑,
75', Crawford J. ↓, O'Connor K. ↑,
79', Hough J. 🟨,
85', Ferry P. ↓, Lawless Z. ↑,
90+1', Doran A. ↓, Egan J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Longford won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Longford has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:32 (averaging 1.5:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Longford against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:15 goals (averaging 1.4:1.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Longford Town - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.15%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
International
Watch
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Moore K. (G) 
Lyons R. 
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