Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 13

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Minerva		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.42
	6	4.2	1.44
	5.75	3.95	1.44
				Watch
	6.49	4.15	1.42
	6	4.2	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↑ (5.7)	4.12 ↓ (4.2)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Minerva
14.9%

Draw
21.9%

Lorca Deportiva
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

18.4%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minerva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minerva than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Minerva - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Aguera A. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Carrasco A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 1 - 2, Morete ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Minerva has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lorca Deportiva is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lorca Deportiva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lorca Deportiva is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SFC Minerva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
24.11.24	Santomera - Minerva	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Minerva - UCAM Murcia B	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Real Murcia B - Minerva	3:1 ✺
27.10.24	Deportivo Marítimo - Minerva	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Minerva - Cieza	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLLL
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.11.24	El Palmar - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Lorca Deportiva - Plus Ultra	5:2 ✺
26.10.24	Lorca Deportiva - Águilas B	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Unión Molinense - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Santomera - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWTLL

Upcoming Matches