Match Info

Date: 17 January 2021, Sunday


	Lorca Deportiva		Córdoba

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.25	1.85
	4	3	1.95
	4	2.95	1.91
	4.65	3.12	1.95
	4.2	3.1	1.91
	4.1	3.1	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.55)	3.09 ↑ (3.02)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
22.4%

Draw
29.8%

Córdoba
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

29.9%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

24.4%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorca Deportiva - Córdoba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 4 (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 4 (Promotion Group)).

Lorca Deportiva has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Córdoba in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lorca Deportiva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Córdoba is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.01.21	Lorca Deportiva - Linares Deportivo	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Numancia - Lorca Deportiva	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.12.20	Sevilla B - Lorca Deportiva	4:0 ✺
06.12.20	Lorca Deportiva - Granada B	2:2 ✺
29.11.20	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Córdoba CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.01.21	Betis B - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.21	Córdoba - Getafe	1:0 ✺
16.12.20	Córdoba - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.12.20	Córdoba - El Ejido	4:0 ✺
06.12.20	Real Murcia - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.10.20	Córdoba - Lorca Deportiva	1:0

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