Match Info

Date: 16 December 2020, Wednesday


	Numancia		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.5
	1.6	3.6	5.5
	1.65	3.45	5.35
	1.66	3.3	4.9
	1.71	3.35	5.49
	1.7	3.5	5.25
	1.71	3.68	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	5.13 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
55.6%

Draw
26.4%

Lorca Deportiva
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

20.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Numancia - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Numancia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lorca Deportiva is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lorca Deportiva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.12.20	Numancia - Langreo	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Burgos - Numancia	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Numancia - Valladolid B	2:2 ✺
21.11.20	Real Oviedo B - Numancia	0:0 ✺
08.11.20	Numancia - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTTW
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.12.20	Sevilla B - Lorca Deportiva	4:0 ✺
06.12.20	Lorca Deportiva - Granada B	2:2 ✺
29.11.20	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Lorca Deportiva - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
08.11.20	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL

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