Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)


	Lorca Deportiva		Yeclano Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.92	2.68
	2.65	2.97	2.75
	2.6	3.01	2.7	Watch
	2.63	2.75	2.7
	2.6	2.85	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.63)	2.9 ↑ (2.88)	2.7 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
34.9%

Draw
31.4%

Yeclano Deportivo
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

31.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Yeclano Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Lorca Deportiva - Yeclano Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Pedro Melli (Own goal),
43', 1 - 1, Dominguez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, Carrasco A. ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, Gomez Meneses J. M. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

Lorca Deportiva has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Yeclano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lorca Deportiva won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lorca Deportiva won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.04.26	Águilas - Lorca Deportiva	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Lorca Deportiva - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Almeria B - Lorca Deportiva	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Lorca Deportiva - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Melilla - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTTL
- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.04.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Antoniano - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Yeclano Deportivo - CD Extremadura	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Puente Genil - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Malaga B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
30.01.22	Lorca Deportiva - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.03.21	Yeclano Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	1:2
22.11.20	Lorca Deportiva - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1

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